This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes", if President Trump, Elon Musk or an agency of The United States Government announces that the Federal Government will issue a $1,000 check to all registered Tax Payers in The United States before the Event Close Date. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from President Trump, Elon Musk, Karoline Leavitt and or an Agency of The United States Government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement by a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that either Sacha Baron Cohen or Isla Fisher is seen in public with a new romantic partner before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this market will be paparazzi photos, social media posts, or media reports from reputable or not so reputable entertainment outlets.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if Ben & Jerry’s or its official social media accounts publicly release a statement, post, or campaign that criticizes or makes a political statement about President Donald Trump before the Event Date Close, despite Unilever’s mandate for silence. If it becomes impossible for this to occur, the Event Outcome may settle immediately to "No". If no such post is made prior to the Spinoff of Ben & Jerry’s from Unilever, this Event Outcome will Settle to "No".
This Event Outcome will settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that one of the following celebrities publicly acknowledges and or endorses the use of cordyceps as a performance-enhancing supplement before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this to occur, the Event Outcome may settle immediately to "No". List of Celebrities: Leonardo DiCaprio Tom Hanks Tom Cruise George Clooney Brad Pitt Johnny Depp Robert Downey Jr. Daniel Craig Richard Gere Jennifer Aniston
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that one of the three approved Private Equity Firms, Arctos Partners, Ares Management and or Sixth Street has acquired a 10% stake in the New York Giants, valuing the team at greater than $12 Billion before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this market will be official information from the New York Giants however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Justin Bieber has officially checked into any drug rehabilitation center or care facility before the Event Date Close. If a photo or similar verification method is published from a credible reporting source, this Event Outcome will also Settle to “Yes”. Definition: Drug rehabilitation: Medical or psychotherapeutic treatment for dependency on psychoactive substances such as alcohol, prescription drugs, and street drugs such as cannabis, cocaine, heroin, and amphetamines If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this market will be official information from Justin Beiber, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Sam Altman has resigned his position of CEO of OpenAI before the Event Date Close. If Sam Altman no longer holds the position of CEO at the Event Close Date for any reason, including but not limited to personal reasons, this Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes”. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Squid Games Season 3 has had more than 100 million viewers worldwide on NetFlix in its first three days from its planned unofficial release date of June 27th, 2025. If the release date is extended from this unofficial release date, the new date plus 3 days will be the new ending date for the Event Outcome. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Netflix, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes", if an agency of The United States Government announces that DeepSeek AI will be banned in The United States before the Event Close Date. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from DeepSeek and Agencies of The United States Government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement by a credible reporting source, and not cessation of service by DeepSeek to customers in the United States.
This Event Outcome will be settled as "Yes”, if President Trump “Alone”, confirms that the US Government has determined the existence of Alien Life outside of Planet Earth before the Event Close Date. If it becomes impossible for President Trump, alone, to confirm that the US Government has determined the existence of Alien life outside of Planet Earth, then the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". Definition of Alone: Conversation with a reporter Excludes a press conference or group setting with any members of the US Administration including but not limited to Elon Musk. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from President Trump as the sole Representative of The Untied States Government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on the Announcement by President Trump, and no one else regarding Alien Life as Defined.
This Event Outcome will be settled as "Yes" if Jake Paul or a credible reporting source confirms that he has secured a star or supporting role in a Hollywood movie before the Event Close Date. This precedent is based on Dwayne Johnson's transition from the WWE to Hollywood and retiring from contact sports. The primary source for confirmation will be official information from Jake Paul; however, a consensus from credible reporting sources may also be considered. This Event Outcome is a prediction based on the announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will be settled as "Yes”, if any Agency or Representative of The US Government confirms that the number of full time non-contract employees at the Internal Revenue Service has dropped below 50,000 on or before the Event Close Date. . The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from President Trump, Elon Musk or a duly appointed Representative of The Untied States Government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement by a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if credible reporting source confirms that Taylor Swift lists for sale her Rhode Island Home for sale known as Holiday House before the Event Close Date. If it becomes impossible for Taylor Swift to list this Property for Sale then the Event Outcome will settle to No. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Taylor Swift but a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on the Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that South Bow Corp has decided to restart the Keystone XL Pipeline Project running from Canada to the Untied States on or before the Event Close Date. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from South Bow Corp, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if the team selected wins the 2024-2025 NBA Championship. Otherwise, this Event Outcome will resolve to “No”. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from the NBA.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Kamala Harris and Doug Emhoff announce that they are separated anytime before the Event Close Date. Otherwise, this Event Outcome will Settle to "No". If it becomes impossible for Kamala Harris and Doug Emhoff to become officially or unofficially separated, this Event Outcome will settle to No. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Kamala Harris and Doug Emhoff, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement by a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome shall Settle to “Yes” if the Team wins the 2024–2025 Stanley Cup. Otherwise, it shall Settle to “No.” Furthermore, if it becomes impossible for the Team to win the 2024–2025 Stanley Cup under NHL rules, the Event Outcome shall Settle to “No.” Official information from the NHL will serve as the source for determining the Settlement outcome.
This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if a team wins the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this Event Outcome will Settle to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2024-2025 UEFA Champions League based on the rules of the tournament (e.g. they are eliminated), this Event Outcome will Settle immediately to “No”.
This Event Outcome will be settled as "Yes”, if President Trump, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth or a duly appointed representative of The United States Government, confirms plans to build a new Nimitz-class aircraft carrier before the Event Close Date. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Agencies of The United States Government, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement by a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that California Gov Gavin Newsom has resigned by or before the Event Close Date. Resignation can take the form of leaving for Personal Reason which is “undefined". Nonetheless, leaving for "Personal Reason" would qualify as a resignation and thus would still Settle to a “Yes”. However, if it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from The State of California however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on the Announcement from a credible reporting source.