This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that RedBird Capital Partners sells its 15% stake in Rajasthan Royals for more than $100 million before the start of the IPL 2026 season. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official financial disclosures from RedBird Capital, Rajasthan Royals, or IPL-related business reports, but a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a Private Equity Sports Investment Transaction
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Senator Chris Murphy establishes a formal exploratory committee or announces his intent to run for the U.S. presidency in 2028 before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Senator Murphy’s office, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that AstroForge’s Odin spacecraft successfully reaches asteroid 2022 OB5 and begins its planned imaging operations before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from AstroForge, NASA, SpaceX and other agencies, but a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin will appear together at a televised press conference or public forum in Riyadh hosted by Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from recognized government channels, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source regarding the Joint Public Appearance in Riyadh of all three world leaders.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that one of the Agencies charged with measuring hurricane wind speed has decided to add a Category 6 to the Saffir-Simpson scale to categorize wind speeds of greater than 180 mph before the Event Date Close. A change in the Saffir-Simpson scale from out of 5 to be out of 10, will result in the Event Outcome Settling to “No”. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the National Hurricane Center or The World Meteorological Organization, however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that a hurricane reaches Category 5 status during the 2025 summer season before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the National Hurricane Center, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Elon Musk’s will bring X.com, formally Twitter, back to the public markets through an IPO at a $50 billion plus valuation before the Event Date Close. This Prediction has two Parts and both parts of the Event Outcome must Settle to "Yes" for the Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes". Part A: Elon Musk announces intent to Raise Public Funds at any valuation equal to or above $50 Billion for x.com Part B: Morgan Stanley and Goldman have been engaged to manage and Co-lead the IPO If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from X, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Apple reintroduces its end-to-end encryption feature (Advanced Data Protection) for iCloud users in the United Kingdom before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Apple, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that hackers publicly demonstrate remote control of a widely used smart mattress Eight Sleep—showing they can adjust temperatures or otherwise manipulate settings—in a live event before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Conference however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Melania Trump will appear solo on the cover of Vanity Fair's U.S. Edition in a non special edition and excluding a commemorative edition of first ladies of The United States (FLOTUS) before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Vanity Fair, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Mount Rainier Lahar Detection System issues a public warning for a potential volcanic eruption before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the United States Geological Survey (USGS), however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Reddit is entering official merger or acquisition discussions with Microsoft Linkedin before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from Reddit and Microsoft, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if credible reporting source confirms that Steve Bannon has been appointed to a position of Special Advisor in The White House before the Event Close Date. This Prediction has two Parts and both parts of the Event Outcome must Settle to "Yes" for the Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes". Part A: Steve Bannon is pardoned Part B: Steve Bannon is appointed as a Special Advisor in The White House If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Karoline Leavitt as President Trump’s Press Secretary or The White House directly. A consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the following Company or Group will make a public bid to acquire Nikola’s primary manufacturing assets and Intellectual Property out of bankruptcy before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Bankruptcy Court, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. Currently, The United States Bankruptcy Court for the District of Delaware is hearing the case under the Honorable Judge Thomas M. Horan - case number 25-10258. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that a DOGE investigation has identified significant discrepancies between the Congress members’ Financial Disclosures reported sources of income and their documented net worth before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that President Donald Trump formally submits a legislative proposal or executive action aimed at ending the carried interest tax treatment before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes," the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this market will be an official government announcement or legislative filings. President Trump, Elon Musk or an agency spokesperson of The United States Government may make the announcement. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement by a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Floyd Mayweather Jr. and real estate mogul Meyer Orbach along with partners has acquired a 10% stake in the New York Giants for any amount greater than $1.0 Billion before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the New York Giants however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that PayPal Honey Settles the Class Action Lawsuit Before the end of December 2025 If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this market will be official information from PayPal, Cotchett, Pitre & Mccarthy, Llp, GamersNexus LLC, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement by a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Delta Airlines increases its initial compensation offer of $30,000 per passenger to settle on any amount greater than $150,000 per Passenger before the Event Date Close. If the current offer or future offers for compensation remains below the $150,000 threshold, the Event Outcome will Settle to "No". The primary source for this market will be official information from Delta, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. All amounts are stated in USD. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement by a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Apple has shipped more than 20 million units of the iPhone 16e at any time before the end of its fiscal year (September 28, 2025). If official Apple data or a consensus of credible sources indicate that shipments remained at or below 20 million, the Event Outcome will Settle to "No". If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this market will be official information from Apple, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement by a credible reporting source.