This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Mr. Beast successfully secures investor funding that values his company at greater than $5 billion before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from MrBeast or the investment firms involved, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that MrBeast’s chocolate brand, Feastables, surpasses Hershey’s and other competitors to become the #1 best-selling chocolate brand in the U.S. before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official market research reports or major business publications, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Starbucks announces an official plan to add humanoid robots to function as Baristas before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Starbucks, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Amazon Labor Union (ALU), with or without the International Brotherhood of Teamsters has Filed a Lawsuit Against Amazon on Humanoid Robot Workers in warehouses before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from labor unions or court filings, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that LeBron James officially announces his retirement from professional basketball in the month of June 2025. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from LeBron James, his representatives, or the NBA, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Cleveland Cavaliers defeat the Boston Celtics in the 2025 Eastern Conference Finals before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the NBA, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Championship before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the NBA, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that another major cruise line (such as Royal Caribbean, Carnival, or Norwegian) experiences a norovirus outbreak affecting at least 50 passengers before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be CDC reports, cruise industry tracking sites, or a consensus of credible health and travel reporting sources. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Holland America cancels at least one scheduled cruise departure due to norovirus-related concerns before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official Holland America announcements, cruise industry reports, or a consensus of credible travel and health reporting sources. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that a private space company (such as SpaceX, Blue Origin, or Rocket Lab) formally announces a plan to deflect asteroid 2024 YR4 before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be space company press releases, scientific proposals, or a consensus of credible technology reporting sources. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Trump administration formally revokes or cancels the $590 million federal contract awarded to Moderna for bird flu vaccine development before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be U.S. government announcements, Moderna corporate filings, or a consensus of credible business and political reporting sources. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Greenpeace officially files for bankruptcy or publicly announces financial insolvency before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be Greenpeace’s official statements, financial disclosures, or a consensus of credible environmental and legal reporting sources. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Luka Doncic and LeBron James combine to score at least 75 points in a single playoff game before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official NBA game statistics, game recaps, or a consensus of credible sports reporting sources.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Tesla formally identifies the U.S. government as a "related party" in any SEC filings or financial disclosures before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be Tesla’s SEC filings, earnings reports, or a consensus of credible financial reporting sources. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the U.S. government imposes sanctions on Romanian politicians, government officials, or individuals involved in the presidential election controversy before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be U.S. government statements, Treasury Department filings, or a consensus of credible foreign policy reporting sources. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Donald Trump successfully signs legislation or issues an executive order eliminating the $10,000 SALT cap before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". Definition of SALT and related terms: https://bipartisanpolicy.org/explainer/how-salt-may-shake-up-the-2025-tax-debate/ The primary source for this Event Outcome will be government records, legislative filings, or a consensus of credible financial and political reporting sources. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Apple announces an iPhone model that is manufactured entirely in the United States, without reliance on Chinese assembly, before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be Apple product announcements, manufacturing disclosures, or a consensus of credible technology reporting sources. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Elon Musk or an associated whistleblower leaks internal communications, emails, or official documents proving that the Biden White House directly intervened to prevent SpaceX from launching an early rescue mission for the stranded astronauts before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be investigative journalism reports, leaked government documents, or a consensus of credible political reporting sources. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a Political Space Controversy.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the New York Knicks advance past the second round (Eastern Conference Semifinals) of the 2025 NBA Playoffs. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official NBA playoff results, however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that an F1 team deliberately underperforms during preseason testing, only to reveal significantly greater pace at the season opener before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be analysis from F1 data specialists, team radio leaks, or major motorsport media reports, however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.