Is Bardella the new far-right king? As Le Pen fights her legal woes, will her protégé outshine her in the polls? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source publishes a poll showing with higher approval ratings or voting intentions than Marine Le Pen before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official polling data from reputable sources, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Elon Musk brags he's a "Diablo IV" master, clearing "The Pit" level 150 in under two minutes. Will he go live on Twitch or YouTube, slaying demons in real-time to silence the doubters? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Elon Musk has publicly demonstrated his "Diablo IV" skills live before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Event.
Did Elon Musk cheat his way to "Diablo IV" glory by paying a pro to grind for him? Event Outcome: This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms evidence that Elon Musk paid someone to play "Diablo IV" on his behalf before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. Primary Resolution Data: The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that AT&T has announced a sponsorship deal with Major League Cricket Team before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Major League Cricket or AT&T, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Which company will be the first to announce the start of commercial deep-sea mining operations before the Event Date Close? The Untied States Executive order, signed on April 24, 2025, encourages rapid development of deep-sea mining, bypassing the International Seabed Authority (ISA) and fostering partnerships with companies and nations. This Event Outcome will Settle to the name of the company (TMC, Loke Marine Minerals, GSR, CSR, Impossible Metals, or Green Minerals) that first announces the start of commercial deep-sea mining operations, as confirmed by a credible reporting source before the Event Date Close. If no company announces by the deadline, the Event Outcome may Settle to "No." If it becomes impossible for any company to announce before the Event Date Close, the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No." The primary source will be official company announcements or credible news reports, but a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Could Swift be the next big name to join the cosmic club? Will Taylor Swift will be announced as part of Blue Origin's next crew, promising a stratospheric boost to her already sky-high fame. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Taylor Swift has been announced as part of the next Blue Origin crew before the Event Day Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Blue Origin, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
The future of transportation is taking off! Will Joby Aviation soar ahead with its advanced eVTOL, or will Archer Aviation surprise the pack? Perhaps Alef Aeronautics’ unique flying car or Beta Technologies’ innovative approach will clinch the prize. Bet on which company—Joby, Archer, Alef, or Beta—will be the first to secure FAA type certification by the end of 2025, or if none will make it in time. Join the high-flying action! This Event Outcome will Settle based on which company first receives FAA type certification for their flying car or eVTOL aircraft before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for any company to receive certification before the Event Date Close, the Event Outcome may Settle to "None". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the FAA or the respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Tesla has announced the acquisition of a flying car company before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Tesla or the acquired company, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Bidder is the first to have received approval from its respective Community Advisory Committee (CAC) before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the respective Community Advisory Committees or the proposers, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Could California or Massachusetts end up debating whether an AI robots could govern, proposing legislation to redefine candidacy laws. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that a bill has been introduced in any US state legislature to allow an AI robots to run for Governor before the Event Date Close. The Bill does not have to pass or be approved, the Bill only has to be introduced or tabled for Debate for the Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes" If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official state legislature websites or credible news reports, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Audi has chosen the selected US State for its first U.S. factory before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Audi or Volkswagen, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
China’s robots ran 13 miles in Beijing in a half marathon — Will a U.S. organization announces the participation of a humanoid robot in a half or full marathon ? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms the announcement of a humanoid robot participating in one of the following marathons before the Event Date Close. The big Eight: Boston, London, Berlin, New York, Los Angeles, Marine Corps, San Francisco and Chicago Rule Exemptions would be required as an example for the Boston Marathon: The rules, as outlined by the Boston Athletic Association, focus on human runners, requiring qualifying times and prohibiting items like strollers, animals, and non-formfitting costumes. https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202504/1332430.shtml If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official announcements from robotics organizations or event planners, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
To focus on national ambitions, will Gov. JB Pritzker announce he’s not running for a third term as Illinois governor, freeing him up for a 2028 presidential bid. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Pritzker has announced he will not seek re-election as governor in 2026 before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from Pritzker or his campaign, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Skyrocketing Panama Canal fees are pushing shippers to rethink routes! Will the Port of Los Angeles seize the moment, slashing its own fees to lure carriers away from the costly canal and boost West Coast trade? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that the Port of Los Angeles has announced a reduction in its port fees before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from the Port of Los Angeles, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Fresh off the National Gallery, will DOGE turn its cost-cutting gaze to the Smithsonian? Will Musk’s team announce plans to slash funding or shake up its structure? Context: In fiscal year 2023, the Smithsonian received approximately $1 billion. In fiscal year 2022, the federal appropriation was $1.062 billion. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that DOGE has proposed cuts or restructuring for the Smithsonian Institution before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from DOGE or the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
With the federal homelessness agency on the chopping block, will Congress step in to protect it? House Democrats, led by Rep. Emanuel Cleaver II, have already urged Trump to rescind the executive order on March 14, 2025—will they introduce legislation to reinstate or safeguard USICH? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that a bill has been introduced in Congress to reinstate or protect USICH before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be congressional records, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on the introduction of a bill in Congress.
Will Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez declare her candidacy for the 2028 Democratic presidential primary before the 2026 midterm elections on November 3, 2026? The Event Outcome Settles to "Yes" if a credible source (e.g., official statement from AOC or her campaign, or consensus of reputable news outlets) confirms her candidacy announcement before November 3, 2026. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". Context: AOC’s rapid ascent from her 2018 upset victory to a national figure, amplified by her “Fighting Oligarchy Tour” with Sen. Bernie Sanders and strong favorability among Democrats (+60 net rating in a Yale poll), suggests an early bid is feasible. However, it’s a risky move that could overexpose her or strain party relationships. The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez or her campaign, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
Will ESPN’s loudmouth Stephen A. Smith swap sports and take a wild swing at the presidency? Context: Stephen A. Smith, a prominent ESPN host, was included in Nate Silver’s 2028 Democratic primary draft, a surprising pick reflecting his celebrity status and outspoken persona. While he has no political experience, his inclusion alongside serious contenders like Josh Shapiro and Cory Booker suggests his potential to disrupt as a wildcard candidate, akin to Donald Trump’s 2016 run. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Stephen A. Smith has officially announced his candidacy for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from Stephen A. Smith or his campaign, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.
This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Jerome Powell has resigned as Federal Reserve Chair before the Event Date Close. This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Jerome Powell is no longer the Federal Reserve Chair for any reason including but not limited to Personal Reasons, change in an Act of Congress or being fired before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Federal Reserve or Powell himself, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a change in the Chairman of the Federal Reserve from a credible reporting source.
Hostess takes the plunge and rolls out a Twinkies cannabis infused treat? This Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Hostess has launched a cannabis THC or CBD infused product and is rolling this out nationwide to Licensed Cannabis Stores before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from Hostess or Smucker, however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on a Product Launch from a credible reporting source.